Moving Average Sell Idicator / Privaet Equity Blunder

 3/14/2026

Computer algorithm programs use a variety of indicators to issue buy and sell signals. A popular series is the moving average, featured on most stock market charting programs. Now  SPX NDX INDU top to bottom, all sit just above their respective moving averages. It is quite possible that penetrating those averages to the downside will result in widespread sell programs. The trend is your friend. 

 NDX has lagged but is liable to catch up this week, lagged n moving to the downside that is. 

Here is the flip side of the NDX, the PSQ,bear NDX fund, has crossed its 200 day MA to the upside. Hello buy signal.  31.49 is higher than the MA at  31.20. 

All four bear stock funds PSQ - NASD

DWSH - Broad market

HDGE - Broad market

SH - SPX

PS - NDX 

have crossed their 200 day MAs to the upside

9/25/2025 Trump signed an Exec Order allowing 401Ks to buy private equity shares, how is that working out. Below is Blue Owl, a prominent PE firm. OWL was under its 200 day MA when the order was signed. Hmm I thought Kevin Hassett and Scott Bessent were Wall Street whize kids, did they not notice. 

Blue Owl Restricts Redemptions - the inability to retrieve your money is an early warning sign of trouble. 

 tThree years prior Owl had achieved 68 77and 80% annual returns. and then the little guys, retail investors, got in. Limiting redemptions will be especially galling for late comers as the returns sag while redemptions are limited.This is another sign of a massive market top, buyer beware. Note owl is trading  way below Liberation Day April 2025 low. 

 

KKR, whoops - already trading below the April 2025 Liberation  Day Low! A 41% drop since December! OwI and KKR are  Early Warning Indicators.

 

Ten-Year  T Note Price has already moved under its 200 day MA. I don't think the bond market is subject to near as many algorithms as the stock market. Still it marks  a significant  mile market in teh bond bear market.

 Hmm the recent spike in the price, peaking in March was the result of the FED cutting short rates. A Judge threw out the charge against Jerome for lying about the cost of constructing the new FED building, a cheap shot indeed on Trump's part. I thought Jeanine  Between Venezuela, Cuba, Iran, the FED, and naming near everything for himself, he has his hands full.  Too full I expect. 

I thought Jeanine Pirro erred in leaving her cushy well paid job on The Five to take the DC Prosecutor job.  Five is  Fox's afternoon answer to the View,Faulkner Focus is the morning retort to The View, Rather  than see trouble in getting poured out in her attempt to harass Jerome,  she doubles down, looking for Bondi's job? 

This week should be most interesting.